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Audio: Bolling Says Re-Redistricting Sets "Dangerous Precedent"; 50/50 Chance He'll Run for Gov

by: lowkell

Wed Jan 23, 2013 at 15:42:46 PM EST



In other news, beyond the re-redistricting issue setting a "dangerous precedent" and hurting the chances of bipartisan cooperation in the Senate, Bill Bolling turns his attention to transportation. According to Bolling, we will definitely need "new revenue sources" and not just "existing revenue sources" for transportation, and also that "House Republicans are going to have to give on this issue of new revenue." More broadly, Bolling says that compromise is necessary to governance in a democracy, that "compromise" is NOT a "four letter word."  

Finally, with regard to a potential run for governor in 2013 as an independent candidate, Bolling says the polling he's seen has been "pretty encouraging," that there's a "general uncomfortableness" with Ken Cuccinelli and Terry McAuliffe, and "because of that a real opening in this race for a viable and credible, independent choice." Bolling says he has two remaining questions, having already answered the viability question: 1) "can I run a winning campaign...in large part [that's] going to depend on my ability to raise money" (will evaluate after session); and 2) "whether or not this is something that I really want to do...personally...also politically." Bolling describes himself as a "troubled Republican" right now, but he's also been "a loyal Republican for a long time." Bottom line: according to Bolling, the chances he'll run for governor in 2013 as an independent candidate are exactly 50/50 right now.

lowkell :: Audio: Bolling Says Re-Redistricting Sets "Dangerous Precedent"; 50/50 Chance He'll Run for Gov
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Bolling on the Ballot (0.00 / 0)
I'm worried that if Bolling runs, he's going to operate as a safe heaven for Republican-leaning voters alienated by the Cooch, but who are able to hide behind Bolling's "Independent Republican" candidacy and not confront the core problems facing the GOP. Instead of being forced to pick between Terry and Cuccinelli and realize that Cuccinelli really does stand for the modern Virginia Republican Party, which could impact their down ballot vote, they go Bolling and follow it up with straight GOP. That's how Potts voters in 2005 seemed to have operated.  

Could be 2013's Creigh Deeds (0.00 / 0)
I think Bolling, if he runs, has an actual chance to win.  Here's the scenario:

Cuccinelli remains a radioactive extremist, attracting only the hardcore of his party -- not enough to win.  But he launches nuclear mud-slinging at Terry McAuliffe, raising him to a radioactive level too (assuming a dreadful campaign on Terry's part, which I hope and expect won't be the case).

We could then be left in the trap that Terry got caught up in the 2009 Dem primary -- two candidates in a 3-person race beat each other bloodly and the third (in that case, Creigh) sneaks through as the less-tarnished alternative.  (I don't see plain vanilla Bolling having much to beat up on.)

Whoever won would only need about 34% to win -- a volatile situation.  If Dems play their cards right, Repubs split their vote and we win.  To win, Bolling would need to big-time capture the independent vote -- for which he may be too staunch of a conservative.  

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