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Virginia GOP Got 51% of U.S. House Vote, 73% of Seats

by: TheGreenMiles

Thu Jan 03, 2013 at 16:06:00 PM EST

UntitledDavid Wasserman's national House popular vote data now shows Democrats got significantly more votes than Republicans - a lead of 49.15% to 48.03% for a margin of 1.362 million votes. It was gerrymandering - not the will of the people - that gave Republicans a 33-seat majority. How did it look here in Virginia?
Popular votes cast in Virginia U.S. House races for ...
Democrats: 1,806,050 (49%)
Republicans: 1,876,699 (51%)

U.S. House seats won by ...
Democrats: 3 (27%)
Republicans: 8 (73%)

At, Iam Millhiser estimates Democrats would have to win the national popular vote in the House by 7.25% to win a majority of House seats. With 2006 district lines, roughly that same national margin gave Democrats a 31-seat majority - but with 2014's gerrymandering, it would barely give Democrats control of the chamber. And with more safe Republican districts come more extreme Tea Party members - Republicans know they face just as big a threat in the primary as they do in the general election.

This is a problem that can only be solved on the national level. It does us no good if only some states go to nonpartisan redistricting - then power accumulates with the parties that control the gerrymandered states and you're just rewarding the bad actors.  

TheGreenMiles :: Virginia GOP Got 51% of U.S. House Vote, 73% of Seats
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Don't agree that no progress can be made below the national level (0.00 / 0)
Every seat that gets us closer to a majority of fairly distracted seats counts.

The more states that do it, the more the others not doing it look like partisan outliers.

I belong to no organized party. I am a Democrat.

~Will Rogers

The problem (0.00 / 0)
If only Democratic states do nonpartisan redistricting, then you're cementing the GOP's undemocratic majority.

Read more at and follow me on Twitter

[ Parent ]
For example (0.00 / 0)
Is Maryland's 3rd district ridiculous? Of course! But if states like Virginia and Texas are going to gerrymander for Republican districts, Democratic states have to do the same to counter it.

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[ Parent ]
Generally agree with Miles, but... (0.00 / 0)
we would need to take an in-depth look at the California experience to see how this works out in practice.   Apparently, progressives were quite happy with the outcome of the non-partisan re-districting of what is one of the most solid Democratic states in the country.   To really do the analysis right, we would need to separate the effect of the redistricting from the effect of the "non-partisan primary" system which was also instituted for the first time this year.

That said, I have absolutely NO confidence that the fear of looking like a "partisan outlier" would have ANY influence on the Republicans in Red states. They really have no shame when it comes to sacrificing democratic principles for the sake of partisan advantage.

[ Parent ]
I'd also point out that we've been consistent in our opposition (0.00 / 0)
to gerrymandering. Here in Virginia, for instance, we strongly opposed the 2011 gerrymandering fiasco:

"The biggest strategic mistakes Virginia Democratic leaders made in 2011 were their adoption of a flawed, hyper-partisan Senate redistricting plan combined with very poor candidate recruitment for both the Senate and HOD."

"The Saslaw/Whipple plan should be repudiated because it is the product of top down, hierarchical, dictatorial planning designed to protect individual incumbent Democratic Senators behind a supposed "firewall" to preserve a Democratic majority in the Virginia State Senate. This "planning" is bad policy and bad politics. The general public and editorial writers across the Commonwealth have the common sense to realize that this process is decidedly un-democratic."

Potential Gerrymandering of 31st State Senate District Stirs Up Hornet's Nest

etc, etc.

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