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Is Tom Perriello Being "groomed for statewide office" by the Obama camp?

by: lowkell

Thu Aug 30, 2012 at 17:21:31 PM EDT


A post by Rick Sincere pointed out something interesting that got me thinking. The post is about President Obama's campaign appearance in Charlottesville yesterday. On stage with Obama was Tim Kaine, who's obviously a close political ally and is running for U.S. Senate (so that one makes complete sense. The other politician on stage with Obama was former Congressman (from the 5th CD) Tom Perriello. That one's more intriguing, or at least it is to Rick Sincere.
It's also possible that the Obama administration wants to boost Perriello's career...

I think that Perriello is being groomed for statewide office, perhaps as early as 2013. He's a very attractive candidate in many ways: young, intelligent, talented, with a law degree and foreign-policy experience in war zones like Afghanistan and Sierra Leone. Regardless of what one thinks of his policy positions - and his votes for Obamacare and cap-and-trade likely doomed his re-election chances in 2010 - he would be a strong contender for lieutenant governor or attorney general next year, and for governor in 2017 or later. (Gen-Xer Perriello turns 40 years old in 2014.)

I suspect Perriello, as a lawyer, will first run for Attorney General. That job is being vacated by Ken Cuccinelli, who is seeking the GOP's gubernatorial nomination, and the Democratic nomination may be Perriello's to claim (although Delegate Mark Herring has also indicated interest in the post). And in Virginia, state Attorney General is virtually always a stepping-stone to running for Governor.

This speculation may, of course, be completely off base. But I doubt it. Just yesterday, the Times-Dispatch posted this article, in which Perriello points out that he's "young, so [he's] not making a definitive statement" about when and what he'll run for next.

Also, if I know Tom at all - and I feel like I've gotten to know him pretty well the past 5 years - I definitely do NOT think that the political bug has been purged from his system. And for good reason: this guy's one of the most brilliant, articulate, and well-grounded/head-screwed-on-straight politicians out there (and no, that wasn't meant as a backhanded compliment). ;) (Also, with regard to the political bug, note that, despite his "day job" at the Center for American Progress Action Fund, Tom's been traveling like a banshee all over the state for Democrats, meeting with various constituent groups, opening offices, speaking in support of Tim Kaine and Barack Obama, fundraising, etc.)

lowkell :: Is Tom Perriello Being "groomed for statewide office" by the Obama camp?
In a way, it's strange speculating like this about Tom Perriello, as he's not a typical politician in many ways. For instance, unlike the Mark Warners of the world - who apparently don't believe in much of anything, other than their own ambition - I firmly believe that Perriello, while of course being ambitious (what super-talented person isn't at least somewhat ambitious?), is truly a "conviction politician," someone who is driven to by his strong progressive faith tradition. This is a tradition that's an old (I'd argue that it started with Jesus himself) and powerful one. It's the tradition that says we are all our brothers' and sisters' keepers; that our duty is to feed the hungry, clothe the naked, welcome the stranger into our land, heal the world. That's the faith tradition I was raised in (as a Jew), and that's the faith tradition I believe Tom Perriello is deeply rooted in as well (as a Roman Catholic).

Still, like the rest of us, Tom lives in the real world, and is a real politician, so that brings us to real-world political considerations and speculation. Such as: the question Rick Sincere raised, whether Tom Perriello is being groomed by Camp Obama for future office, and if so, for which office and when?

In addition to the possibilities Rick Sincere raises, such as a run for AG in 2013 (note to Rick: Mark Herring's a Senator not a Delegate, and Mike Signer's running as well; Ward Armstrong's name keeps getting floated around as well), here are several others I've thought of and/or heard bandied about.

1. He's being groomed not to run in 2013, but potentially to be appointed by Mark Warner to Warner's vacated Senate seat. Why would Warner's seat be vacated, you ask? In this scenario, it would be after Warner runs for governor in 2013 and crushes Ken Cuccinelli, then is sworn in once again as "his excellency" in January 2013. The only problem with this scenario is that I've also heard, pretty convincingly, that Warner's definitely NOT running for governor in 2013, which means that Terry McAuliffe WILL be the Democratic nominee, barring some really weird development.

2. He's being positioned to run for U.S. Senate in 2014, when Mark Warner's first term expires. Of course, this would assume that Warner vacates the seat. Why would Warner do that? Perhaps to run for president in 2016, which lots of people assume Warner wants to do?

3. Perriello could certainly wait until 2017 to run for AG (or governor), given that - as he himself points out - he's young. That would certainly be consistent with him being "groomed," although 2017 is pretty far into the future, and I'm not sure why running around Virginia in 2012 would particularly help Tom 5 years from now.

4. One final thought: perhaps Perriello would be up for a top Obama administration post next year? Although for that, I'm not sure why he needs to be dashing around Virginia this year, other than the highly important reason of helping elect Obama and Kaine. What I guess I don't understand, though, is why Tom - as much as I love the guy! - would be considered a political asset by the Obama (or Kaine) campaigns outside the 5th CD, as his name ID is very low in most parts of Virginia, according to all the polling I've seen.

Anyway, that's enough idle speculation for one day. Maybe all this is total nonsense. Maybe we )(the author and the readers) all really need to get lives. ;) Or maybe, some of us are just weird political junkie types and can't help ourselves from playing "Fantasy Virginia Politics?" How about you, any interest in playing along?

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I had previously speculated (0.00 / 0)
about Perriello running for Governor in 2013. While that seems less likely now (if he was, we would have heard something about it already), I think AG is a real possibility in 2013 that makes a lot of sense.

Of course, we need to see what happens in November, since which party holds the White House clearly does seem to have an effect on who gets elected Governor in Virginia the following year. Of course, this will be a trend/phenomenon up the recise point that it no longer is, but I wonder whether an Obama victory in 2012 doesn't get Warner rethinking a run for Governor for two reasons:

1. Stop Cuccinelli; and
2. Governor of a swing state seems to me to be a better place to run for President than as a Senator of that same swing state controlled by extremists from the opposition party.

On the other hand, a Romney win might bring out challengers to T-Mac, especially if the powers that be question whether he can win in the general (I think he can).

And by the way, I don't think Obama is grooming anyone in the Commonwealth for statewide office. In my view, Warner and Kaine are the ones behind the Democratic machinations here, whatever they may be.


One thing I'd point out is that the head of OFA-Virginia (0.00 / 0)
is Tom's former campaign manager and chief of staff, Lise Clavel. Hmmmmm.

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[ Parent ]
Wouldn't Confuse ... (0.00 / 0)
The machinations of Obama and his folks with the machinations of Warner and Kaine. Most big states have competing factions, even without the Democratic party. More than enough room for that in Virginia.  

[ Parent ]
I'd like to hope it's true (0.00 / 0)
The Democrats, especially DPVA, do so little to groom great young leaders like Tom. Instead, it's just the party hacks who seem to move through the system after kissing the appropriate butts above them.  Meanwhile, DPVA leaders do all they can to discourage the grassroots and netroots from becoming future Democratic leaders themselves -- the polar opposite of what happens on the Republican side.

This leads to a state party full of too many nobodies who don't stand for much, and a de-motivated base.

So, yes, I hope somebody is grooming real Dem leaders like Tom, and I hope he runs for something before long.  

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The other possibility... (4.00 / 2)
...is that the Obama camp is savvy enough to know that Tom revs up the base a lot more effectively than certain other VA Dems who shall go unnamed.  

Particularly on this campaign swing, which is targeting young voters.

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I'm sure that's part of it. (0.00 / 0)
n/t

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[ Parent ]
The youth angle is a great point n/t (0.00 / 0)


[ Parent ]
Aiming Way Too Low! (0.00 / 0)
Lowell,

Isn't it obvious? The Obama camp IS grooming Perriello for something. But why stop at statewide for Virginia? I think it's "obvious" that Obama is grooming Perriello to be his hand picked successor in 2016. Biden will retire during the second term for health reasons, and Obama will appoint Tom as Vice-President!!


Why stop at President? (4.00 / 1)
To paraphrase Steve Martin, why not the Master All Being of Time, Space and Dimension? :)

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[ Parent ]
More Serious Comment (0.00 / 0)
I made this point in the previous "Draft Perriello" diary.

Pay attention to what Tom says.

http://lrmartinjr.tumblr.com/p...

"I mean the issue with those races is not how to win - I can figure that out," Perriello continued. "It's what you can accomplish with the seat. And I think right now I'm more interested in trying to deal with the structural reforms that mean someone - anyone - in that position would be in a better place to get things done that Virginia needs to get done."

What can Governor Perriello accomplish that Governor McAuliffe can't?  


Was that a serious question? (0.00 / 0)
Are we still on the McAuliffe bandwagon? Why be there when we can have a candidate who doesn't have all the baggage McAuliffe brings with him? However, I would agree that a more logical reach for Tom Perriello at this time would be the AG's office, and then the governorship, so that does leave open the question of just who is going to run for the next gubernatorial election.

[ Parent ]
Baggage? (0.00 / 0)
What baggage does McAullife have?

[ Parent ]
candidates for Governor 2013 (4.00 / 1)
Why not Anne Holton first woman Governor of Virginia

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The purpose of Blue Virginia is to cover Virginia politics from a progressive and Democratic perspective. This is a group blog and a community blog. We invite everyone to comment here, but please be aware that profanity, personal attacks, bigotry, insults, rudeness, frequent unsupported or off-point statements, and "trolling" (NOTE: that includes outright lies, whether about climate science, or what other people said, or whatever) are not permitted and, if continued, will lead to banning. For more on trolling, see the Daily Kos FAQs. Also note that diaries may be deleted if they do not contain at least 2 solid paragraphs of original text; if not, please use the comments section of a relevant diary. For more on writing diaries, click here. Thanks, and enjoy!

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