Right now, it seems Mitt Romney is going to be the GOP nominee short of an unexpected political event. Both Governor "His Veepness" McDonnell and Lt. Governor Bolling are big supporters of the Mittster. There remains a small but diminishing chance of Governor McDonnell being the GOP VEEP candidate due to Romney's likely need to cut a ticket deal with the Santorum wing of the party to ensure a unified Convention. But if the former Massachusetts Governor were to win the White House, it is almost certain he would offer McDonnell a significant cabinet post, possibly Attorney General.
Meaning: A Romney win in November surely forces Kenny C and his Sunshine band to defeat incumbent Governor "Bowling Alone" Bolling for the GOP nod in the June, 2013 primary.
It would be a titanic battle, leaving Cuccinelli - should he win - as the head of a bitterly split party, far worse than the Democratic split in 1969 which elected Tim Kaine's father-in-law as the first Republican Governor in the history of Virginia.
Against any credible DEM nominee, Mr. Cuccinelli would be the underdog at that point.
But you say: What if, by some magic or mistake, Rick Santorum wins the GOP presidential nomination and then gets at least 270 electoral votes due to what would have to be the greatest "hanging chad" and voter machine mechanical malfunction in history, as it would need to occur at the same time in about 15 states he couldn't possibly win otherwise?
There is no chance that Mr. Santorum is going to reward Romney-backer McDonnell with a cabinet post. So Mr. Cuccinelli has likewise calculated that even under this scenario - Santorum wins due to X-Files case of massive voter machine malfunction - Mr. Bolling will not be Governor come June of 2013.
Nor does he figure Mr. McDonnell is going to pull a Sarah Palin, and resign to host a deep sea fishing reality show off the coast of Virginia Beach.
Bottom line: Mr. Cuccinelli has decided there will be no Governor Bolling listed on the ballot for the GOP 2013 statewide primary.
"I am in all-in Twinkie" the AG just said to the LG.
If you like poker, you have to admire the play.