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South Carolina Teapublican Primary Open Thread

by: lowkell

Sat Jan 21, 2012 at 18:30:00 PM EST


Polls close in South Carolina at 7 pm. Feel free to use this as an open thread to discuss the results of this primary, and also of the Teapublican primaries in general. Interesting, the early exit polls indicated that "Nearly 2/3 say recent debates -- where Gingrich got rave reviews -- were an important factor," and also that "about 1/2 of voters made up their minds in the last few days, backing up Gingrich poll gains." Looking good for Newton over Willard, but we'll see soon enough! By the way, if Gingrich does beat Romney in South Carolina tonight, that will mean Romney's only won a single primary, and that was in his de facto home state, so it really shouldn't count for much. Not impressive.

UPDATE 7:01 pm: ABC and NBC News call it for Newt Gingrich.  Hahahahahahahaha. Lovin' it. :) :) :)
UPDATE 7:02 pm: CNN exit polls have it at Gingrich 38%, Romney 29%, Santorum 17%, Paul 15%. Will Santorum drop out? If so, then it will essentially be mano a mano between Newton and Willard. Boy, would that be a hoot!
UPDATE 9:12 pm: According to CNN, with 68% of precincts reporting, it's Newton 41%, Willard 26%,  Mr. "Man on Dog" 18%, and the crazy conspiracy theory/racist/"get off my lawn!" guy 13%.
UPDATE 9:17 pm: As Loudoun Insider points out, "Of course the collapse of Mitt Romney in the South Carolina polls had little to do with Bob McDonnell, but it certainly does not help McDonnell's VP campaign to endorse and campaign for Romney there just as Romney collapses and loses pretty significantly." Hahaha.
UPDATE 9:18 pm: According to Intrade, Willard now has a 66.9% chance of being the Republican nominee, compared to 26.0% for Newton and 0.7% for Surging Santorum. Willard was over 90% just a few days ago.
UPDATE 7:08 am Sunday: With 99% of precincts reporting, Newton Leroy won with 40% of the vote to Willard "Mitt"'s 28%, Surging Santorum's 17%, and Conspiracy Freakazoid 13%.
UPDATE 11:41 am Sunday: Check out Andrew Sullivan's fascinating thoughts on Newt Gingrich, Willard Romney, and the "crack-up" of the Republican Party. That includes this comment, with which I agree wholeheartedly: "If I were a Republican, I'd be ashamed. But Gingrich won, I think, because shame is alien to him. Especially when it comes to race."

lowkell :: South Carolina Teapublican Primary Open Thread
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So I guess... (0.00 / 0)
...that open marriages are more popular in the Republican party than I thought...

Impeachinelli! Now on Twitter.

I think the time has come (4.00 / 1)
The evangelicals will not pull the lever for Romney.  Now, it will be interesting to see what they would do in a one-on-one against Obama, but it's clear that Romney does not have the backing of religious conservatives.  How many of them will hold their noses and vote for him in November?

I think tonight will be a preview of November. In the end, Republican turnout will be depressed a bit, and Obama will win the popular vote by 3-5%, maybe more.  Evangelical apprehension and fear of the Mormon candidate will counteract any Dem apathy, plus some.


[ Parent ]
Exit Polls (0.00 / 0)
Looks like the only categories won by Romney were:

Voters with postgraduate degrees
Incomes over $200K
Moderates & Liberals
Non-Evangelicals
Opposed to the Tea Party
Pro-Choice
http://www.cnn.com/election/20...

follow me on Twitter.


Now I am sad that Gingrich isn't on the VA ballot (0.00 / 0)
I still think Gingrich is a lunatic, but it would have been fun to see Romney have to sweat for a win in VA.

It clearly isn't Family Values (0.00 / 0)
at work here.  Haha. Guess it's combination of a revolt by the patriarchal authoritarians, cmbined with anti-Mormonism, and, well, nuthatchery rampant.  

After 20+ debates, you'd think... (0.00 / 0)
...that the debates would get less relevant. Somehow, though, the optics they produce are only getting stronger, and impacting voters even more than over the summer. The networks (and their advertisers) must be having a blast. I wrote up my thoughts on Newt's win in a diary: http://www.bluevirginia.us/dia...

And fracturing the Goof Old Party even more ! (0.00 / 0)
Obama must be laughing in his beer at all the GOP divisive and flip-flop stuff he can quote from Newt and Romney negative ads and campaign direct statements attempting to pander to the GOP factions. Too Liberal ? Sorry, the Newtster is too liberal about his "open marriage" proposition. Want seriously conservative ? Sorry, Ron Paul and Santorum don't have the delegates or the money to win the nomination. Willing to ignore the
"liberal open marriage" and lack of funding ? Sorry, Newt can't even pay off his Tiffany's debt much less finance a legitimate campaign.

Why would even the GOP corporate sponsors invest in any of these losers ? Zero return on investment is not what will cause those "corporations the Supremes claim are people" to just throw their money down a rat hole. Maybe the super PACs will decide they should at least contribute to Democratic Congress critters so they can buy some more favorable legislation.

Just some joyful thoughts as we approach the end of the GOP Presidential nomination process, which I think will occur in Florida when Romney's huge financial advantage kicks in and ends the GOP quest for their worst candidate - Mitt wins, the GOP loses. Then all we have to wait for is to see if Mitt can pick a worse VP candidate than McCain did.

I gotta re-stock my popcorn and beer supply, my stock is running low as I watch the NFL playoffs. So entertaining, this Republican parade of clowns.

                        T.C.



[ Parent ]
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The purpose of Blue Virginia is to cover Virginia politics from a progressive and Democratic perspective. This is a group blog and a community blog. We invite everyone to comment here, but please be aware that profanity, personal attacks, bigotry, insults, rudeness, frequent unsupported or off-point statements, and "trolling" (NOTE: that includes outright lies, whether about climate science, or what other people said, or whatever) are not permitted and, if continued, will lead to banning. For more on trolling, see the Daily Kos FAQs. Also note that diaries may be deleted if they do not contain at least 2 solid paragraphs of original text; if not, please use the comments section of a relevant diary. For more on writing diaries, click here. Thanks, and enjoy!

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