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How Enthused Are You About Tim Kaine for Senate?
Wildly Enthused, I LOVE Tim Kaine!
Strongly Enthused, I like Kaine a lot, Allen sux
Moderately enthused: Kaine's fine, Allen sux
Not enthused about Kaine, but Allen sux
Not at all enthused about this race
I'm voting for George Allen

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ADT Home Security in Virginia

PPP: Kaine 47%-Allen 42%; Kaine 49%-Radtke 33%

by: lowkell

Thu Dec 15, 2011 at 14:24:29 PM EST


So, not only is President Obama looking good in Virginia, but so is Tim Kaine (not surprisingly given that finding, not to mention Felix's gaffe-ridden debate performance the other day. Check it out.
After getting good reviews for his performance in the first debate of the race last week Tim Kaine has finally gained a little separation in what has been a deadlocked Virginia Senate contest.  He now leads George Allen 47-42.

When PPP polled this race for the first time this year in February it was dead even. The main difference between then and now comes with independents: what was a 9 point lead for Allen early in the year at 50-41 is a now 4 point advantage for Kaine at 43-39...

Oh, and just in case Jamie Radtke pulls a miracle and defeats Felix Macacawitz for the Republican't nomination, she'd lose by 16 points (49%-33%). All in all, 2012 is looking to be a much better year than we've experienced recently. Now, let's get to work and make sure that happens!
lowkell :: PPP: Kaine 47%-Allen 42%; Kaine 49%-Radtke 33%
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PPP: Kaine 47%-Allen 42%; Kaine 49%-Radtke 33% | 8 comments
It looks like (0.00 / 0)
PPP still leans Democratic, and Rasmussen leans hard Republican.  Still, it's good news for 10 months and change out - certainly better than being behind.
Disagree. PPP has been the most accurate pollster, (4.00 / 1)
period, for a long time now. No party lean that anyone else has pointed to.

Follow me on Twitter.
[ Parent ]
As for Rasmussen, they're just a bunch of hacks. (0.00 / 0)
I don't even care what they say anymore, don't pay them one bit of attention. They have zero credibility.

Follow me on Twitter.
[ Parent ]
I Agree (0.00 / 0)
The Rasmussen questions are so strangely worded that the polls often are meaningless...as is the universe of people they poll.
[ Parent ]
Rasmussen's biggest problem is that they do one-day samples (0.00 / 0)
which is great for getting a narrative out there quickly, but not so much for accurate polling. I don't think any other pollster relies on one-day samples; there's just too much potential volatility. (Remember their poll that had Deeds ahead of McDonnell right after the Dem primary?)

I mean, there are plenty of problems with their methodology, such as it is, but this is the one that's always bugged me.

[ Parent ]
PPP actually had a slight Republican house effect in 2010 (4.00 / 1)
http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.n...

Rasmussen is, of course, much further to the right.

[ Parent ]
Measure of Change in State (4.00 / 1)
It was quite interesting to note that 34% of respondents did not consider themselves "southern" and among them Kaine led 61-29. Among those who do consider themselves "southern," Allen led, but only by 47-41. Hmmm. Something like that should tell the GOP that their present strategy will doom them to be a minority party in time.(Gerrymandering and hate-baiting will only last so long.)  
This Makes Me Very Happy (0.00 / 0)
We have 11 months to maintain and improve on these results!
PPP: Kaine 47%-Allen 42%; Kaine 49%-Radtke 33% | 8 comments
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The purpose of Blue Virginia is to cover Virginia politics from a progressive and Democratic perspective. This is a group blog and a community blog. We invite everyone to comment here, but please be aware that profanity, personal attacks, bigotry, insults, rudeness, frequent unsupported or off-point statements, and "trolling" (NOTE: that includes outright lies, whether about climate science, or what other people said, or whatever) are not permitted and, if continued, will lead to banning. For more on trolling, see the Daily Kos FAQs. Also note that diaries may be deleted if they do not contain at least 2 solid paragraphs of original text; if not, please use the comments section of a relevant diary. For more on writing diaries, click here. Thanks, and enjoy!

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