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ADT Home Security in Virginia

So Much for McDonnell's "Surplus." And So Much for McDonnell's "Jobs."

by: lowkell

Mon Jul 25, 2011 at 16:44:03 PM EDT


Two Bob McDonnell Big Lies bite the dust (or SHOULD, if the media actually does its job, and if the public pays attention for 2 minutes).

First, the supposed "surplus." A new Commonwealth Institute report further demolishes that one (I say "further," because McDonnell's already been demolished on previous "surpluses," while this one is somewhat preemptive, for McDonnell's upcoming Big Lies for 2012 and 2013):

Despite years of cuts to public services and slowly rebounding state revenues, Virginia faces an estimated budget shortfall of more than $800 million in the upcoming 2012-2014 biennial budget, according to a new report released today by The Commonwealth Institute for Fiscal Analysis. The report, In the Red, provides a forecast of state revenues and expenditures based on publicly available data.

[...]

...previous budgets have been brought into balance by cutting and disinvesting in these and other essentials such as K-12 education, and using a variety of other tools - such as the Rainy Day Fund and federal Recovery Act funding - which are no longer available to lawmakers. Furthermore, the state knowingly underfunded the Virginia Retirement System during the recession, an option the Governor and lawmakers insist will not be used again.

Again, so much for Bob McDonnell's supposed "surplus." It isn't.

Now, with regard to McDonnell's other Big Lie, here's the Commonwealth Institute once again:
*"Virginia has lost 23 percent of the job gains made since February 2010" (note: McDonnell took office in January 2010)
*"The state has made no real progress in job creation since the end of the recession all the way back in June 2009. At that time, Virginia's total employment was 3.6 million and it remains at 3.6 million today"
*"When compared to pre-recession levels in December 2007, total employment in Virginia is down over 120,000 jobs."
*"Private businesses in Virginia currently employ fewer workers than they did in July 2004."

lowkell :: So Much for McDonnell's "Surplus." And So Much for McDonnell's "Jobs."
Just to be clear, I'm not blaming Bob McDonnell for causing any of this. However, if McDonnell is going to go around claiming he actually has created jobs, he richly deserves to be slammed for his laughably absurd claim. Back in the real world, the fact is that we're in a nasty recession, caused in large part by Bob McDonnell's party's policies.

Making matters worse, McDonnell's party has been completely unhelpful in efforts to get us out of said recession, whether through Keynesian-style stimulus "pump priming," or through increasing the debt ceiling and not threatening to plunge the world economy into another meltdown like we saw in the fall of 2008, etc.

Finally, McDonnell's party has relentlessly bashed the hand that's been feeding it -- namely the federal government, which in Virginia's case, accounts for (directly or indirectly) a huge percentage of employment, gross economic output, you name it.

All of which makes it doubly, triply galling to listen to McDonnell lie, lie, and lie some more about his supposed job creation prowess. In fact, he's accomplished nothing, other than ungratefully accepting federal stimulus dollars, raiding the state pension fund, and borrowing against our future. Apparently, in GOP land, all that FAIL adds up to "success." It would be hilarious if it weren't so deadly serious.

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Corporate Giifts ? (0.00 / 0)
And just how many VA tax dollars have been given to corporations to lure them to VA ? The incentive to jobs created ratio is an abysmal number. But makes for great publicity for his phony job creation spin.

A great deal (0.00 / 0)
and very few (if any) net jobs as a result.  

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[ Parent ]
Two things (2.00 / 1)
1) I don't think anyone is disputing (or is surprised) that Virginia faces a shortfall heading into the next biennial budget. The press release McDonnell released, however, referred to a surplus for FY2011.

Now, you can argue (which you have, and I'm sure will again) that it's not actually a surplus if we underfunded the VRS. Fair point. But the existence of the FY12-14 shortfall doesn't affect the Administrations claim of a FY11 surplus.

2) The Unemployment Rate in Virginia was 7.2% when McDonnell was sworn in. It's 6.3% now.

I think most states would gladly, gladly take a jobs report that showed no net jobs have been lost since June 2009. And I think 49 other states would, in a second, love to be called "The #1 State to To Business In".

So, yeah, McDonnell has done well with lowering the unemployment rate, despite circumstances mostly out of his control, and keeping Virginia a business-friendly state. He has also achieved a surplus without raising taxes (which, as discussed, could be criticized for questionable accounting). He hasn't been perfect. But I think he's more than earned his status as one of the most popular Governors in the country.


It's all bull**** (1.00 / 1)
and you know it. Stop trying to spin McDonnell's lies and distortions.

Follow me on Twitter.

[ Parent ]
Did you even take the time to read a single word I wrote? (2.00 / 1)
Let's start with:

The CI report talks about FY12-FY14. McDonnell is talking about FY11. You're getting your budgets confused.

And I'm sorry you don't trust unemployment figures from the U.S. Department of Labor.


[ Parent ]
Yes, Grima Wormtongue (0.00 / 0)
n/t

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[ Parent ]
You Are... (0.00 / 0)
You are just spinning whatever the GOPers want as their talking points this week. Facts are facts, despite what Fox News says. Facts are: Virginia does NOT have a surplus in FY2011. It is simply reaping some benefits of borrowing from the future (i.e., VRS, future federal transportation funds, etc.). Facts are that Virginia's job growth has to be reduced to account for lost jobs, due in part to cuts forced upon localities, and that localities are struggling with ever larger unfunded mandates given to them by the state, just so that McDonnell and the GA can claim they "balanced" the budget. At least the federal government uses better accounting, especially since the Obama administration stopped the Bush practice of keeping two wars off the books.

[ Parent ]
Virginia has no surplus in 2011, 2012, or 2013 (0.00 / 0)
no matter what Wormtongues, trolls, and other nefarious Tolkien characters (like sspiker) want to try and claim.

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[ Parent ]
Facts are facts. (0.00 / 0)
The fact is that the fiscal year just ended (which is why we're hearing about it now, not some pre-arranged talking point schedule). And the fact is that Virginia took in more revenues than it expended; hence, a surplus. You can argue, and I'd agree, that the surplus is due to underfunding the VRS. But its still technically in surplus.

BTW, all of these figures (including the unemployment rate) are publicly available, which helps since I don't watch Fox News.


[ Parent ]
That's like saying (0.00 / 0)
"I robbed a bank last year and was sent to jail, so I took in more money than I spent in 2011!"

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[ Parent ]
If we're using analogies, (1.00 / 2)
It's actually more like deferring a student loan payment.

[ Parent ]
Great analogy, dips*** (1.00 / 1)
I tried deferring some student loan payments once, and Signet Bank didn't like it too much.  But it certainly sounds better than "I'm going to stiff retirees on their guaranteed benefits so I can save political face".  

Is this part of the Republican outreach program to totally piss off everyone who isn't rich or is too stupid to know they're getting scammed?  


[ Parent ]
That about sums it up. (0.00 / 0)
n/t

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[ Parent ]
Underfunding the VRS (4.00 / 1)
is a part of it, but another part of that surplus is the Commonwealth requiring localities to pay for services it is supposed to pay for.  It's all a shell game.

[ Parent ]
Excellent point. (0.00 / 0)
Another facet of McDonnell's Big Lie.

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[ Parent ]
"Supposed to pay for" (0.00 / 0)
According to whom?

[ Parent ]
And, you've repeated Big Lie #2 (0.00 / 0)
"McDonnell has done well with lowering the unemployment rate"

That's a total lie. McDonnell did NOTHING - ZERO, ZIP, NADA - to lower Virginia's unemployment rate. Did I mention ZERO?!?

Follow me on Twitter.


[ Parent ]
According to the bond raters (0.00 / 0)
who are threatening to reduce our bond rating, direct government spending in NoVA and Tidewater and indirect spending via the marxist/socialist/communist/Kenyan/illegal alien/muslim stimulus money has driven what growth Virginia has had for the last two years, and kept the unemployment rate down.

[ Parent ]
Evil Money (0.00 / 0)
That would be the same stimulus money that the GOP treated like evil incarnate ?  

[ Parent ]
One more point: 2011, 2012, 2013 and 2014 (0.00 / 0)
are all connected. To the extent McDonnell claimed a "surplus" in 2011-2012, it's largely because of borrowing from the future and raiding the VRS, plus stimulus money that's running out. So, in ARTIFICIALLY pumping up 2011-2012 (undoubtedly to make his VP prospects look brighter), McDonnell has harmed 2013-2014. It's really slimy.

Follow me on Twitter.

[ Parent ]
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The purpose of Blue Virginia is to cover Virginia politics from a progressive and Democratic perspective. This is a group blog and a community blog. We invite everyone to comment here, but please be aware that profanity, personal attacks, bigotry, insults, rudeness, frequent unsupported or off-point statements, and "trolling" (NOTE: that includes outright lies, whether about climate science, or what other people said, or whatever) are not permitted and, if continued, will lead to banning. For more on trolling, see the Daily Kos FAQs. Also note that diaries may be deleted if they do not contain at least 2 solid paragraphs of original text; if not, please use the comments section of a relevant diary. For more on writing diaries, click here. Thanks, and enjoy!

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