Home | Virginia
Politics
| National
Politics
Menu

Make a New Account

Username:

Password:



Forget your username or password?


Poll
Should Democrats Move Their Convention Out of North Carolina?
No, I agree with the anti-gay-marriage amendment
No, lots of states have these amendments
No, it's too late to change
No, we want to win North Carolina this November
Yes, we need to take a stand against bigotry
Yes, NC's amendment is particularly heinous
Yes, we're not going to win NC anyway
Yes for many reasons

Results

Weather

Search




Advanced Search


Blog Roll
Virginia Blogs
All Politics is Local
Augusta Free Press
Bacon's Rebellion
Coarse Cracked Corn
Crew of 42
DemRulz
Dixie Pig
Equality Loudoun
The Fix (WaPo)
Greater Greater Washington
The Green Miles
Leaving My Marc
Leesburg Tomorrow
Loudoun Progress
Moonhowlings
New Dominion Project
Not Larry Sabato
Off K Street
Old Dominion Blogs
Ox Road South Blog
Renaissance Ruminations
Richmonder
Richmond Sunlight
RTD VA Politics blog
Roanoke Times blog
Shad Plank
SlantBlog
Too Conservative
True Adventures of the Doorbell Queen
VB Dems
Virginia Education Report
WaPo - Virginia Politics Blog
Waldo Jaquith
Waldo's VA Political Blogroll

Progressive Legal Directory www.criminallawyervirginia.net
www.virginia-duilawyers.com
www.virginia-personalinjurylawyer.com
www.recklessdrivinglawyer.net
www.helpdisabilitylawyer.com
www.criminallawdc.com
www.duilawsdc.com

ADT Home Security in Virginia

Is Jim Webb a Shoo-In for Reelection in 2012?

by: lowkell

Fri Dec 31, 2010 at 10:08:44 AM EST


If Jim Webb decides to seek reelection in 2012, is he a shoo-in?  Based on this superb analysis, on a pro-Republican blog no less, I'd have to say "yes."
Ugh.

It's not even 2011 and that's my sentiments about the 2012 Republican nomination battle. While most of the state is not paying attention to this intra-party nonsense, the posturing by the candidates and soon-to-be candidates has been awful. There's no other word for it, simply awful from top to bottom. With the selection of a primary, the stage was set for former Senator George Allen to ascend. Bob Marshall and Jamie Radtke's only chances were a convention, so with State Central opting for a primary, that in theory would have preempted any candidacy. Whoops.

The analysis goes on to conclude that George Allen, aka "the man we know and love as 'Felix Macacawitz'", is the strong, odds-on (1:3) favorite for the Republican nomination to face Webb in 2012. But not before "the uncomfortable prospect of [a] scorched earth, 'anyone but Allen'" contest that makes this a "long year" for Republicans. And at the end of the GOP nomination process, we get a clueless, unrepentant George Allen, which means we start with "macaca," we continue on with his apparent shame over having Jewish heritage, we recall his habitual use of the "n word" and other shenanigans (deer head in a black family's mailbox, noose in his office, love for the Confederate flag), we then proceed with his 97% voting record with George W. Bush, onward to his utter lack of accomplishments - and disdain for - the "wounded sea slug" of a U.S. Senate, etc, etc. And all this will come in a presidential election year, with President Obama on the top of the ticket and looking like a strong favorite for reelection.

Given all this, how does "Felix Macacawitz" improve his 2006 performance and beat Jim Webb, who would start this time with staff, money, and incumbent advantages?  I have no idea, but if anyone thinks of anything, please let me know. Until then, I'm penciling in Jim Webb as a "shoo-in" for reelection in 2012. That is, assuming he decides to put himself through the torture of running, of attending events, of kissing babies, of doing call time, and generally of doing the thing he hates most in the world - being a politician.  

lowkell :: Is Jim Webb a Shoo-In for Reelection in 2012?
Tags: , (All Tags)
Print Friendly View Send As Email

Not a lock (0.00 / 0)
But if Webb decides to run for re-election he is going to be benefit tremendously from having Obama's operation to help him. Obama will be able to bring out the 20% of the African-American population of VA and turnout will be high. While Obama is not a lock to win VA, Webb stands to benefit a lot by the high turnout of voters in NoVa who stayed home for a significant amount in 2009 and 2010. There is no doubt that VA will be seriously contested by both sides. In 2008 Obama's national winning percentage most closely approximated the margin in VA.

I don't want to give the GOP advice but they need to dump Allen and these tea party loons. VA is a purple state whose demographics are not turning in their favor. They should nominate an empty suit like Rob Whittman or Bill Bolling who people don't have a clue about them but they won't. They are going to go with someone who they love but who is repulsive to the general population.  


I agree, "generic Republican" would be stronger (0.00 / 0)
than Radtke, Marshall, Stewart, or "Felix Macacawitz." But for right now, those seem to be the most likely Republican candidates. If any one of them is the nominee, I'd put Webb's chances of reelection pretty darn high.

Follow me on Twitter.

[ Parent ]
Just got this re: Radtke (0.00 / 0)
Today DeFundIt.org is proud to announce that Jamie Radtke is the first candidate of the 2012 election cycle to sign our pledge to de-fund ObamaCare. Radtake, the former Chairwoman of the Virginia Tea Party Patriots, announced her Senate candidacy this week to vie for the Republican nomination to challenge incumbent Senator Jim Webb (D).

DeFundIt.org Chairman Alex Cortes, speaking on Radtke's pledge said:

"By signing our pledge, Radtke has taken a leadership position in calling for the de-funding of ObamaCare as the first necessary step to fully repealing and replacing this unconstitutional, job-killing, fiscal trainwreck. Americans and Virginians would have a friend in the Senate with a principled conservative leader like Jamie."

DeFundIt.org is an initiative of Restore the Dream Foundation, a 501c4 committed to restoring the American Dream through limited government, free markets, and individual liberty. In the 2010 election, over 200 candidates signed our pledge to de-fund ObamaCare, including 23 that will serve in the next Congress.

Hahahahahaha. Whatever.

Follow me on Twitter.

Webb... (0.00 / 0)
Not that I'm at all a fan, I do like his coattails on some potential congressional races.  Like the 2nd, if we found a candidate with a good military resume.  

Most Likely (0.00 / 0)
I also think there is a possible back lash coming against the R's for the inanity that will be playing in the House.  The promised inquests fall into idiocy (there is no hot air - you lie if you say there is) to the insane (islamists - whatever that is) with even impeachment mumbled by those really upset that a black guy is running the country.

The House rule that every bill be shown to based on the Constitution should be a real laugher.  Most of the teabagger idiots have never read the document as shown by their frequent ignorant statements when asked about it during media interviews.

Demonstrations of idiocy, not displays of Smith Goes To Washington, will be very common.  These images are what will be the norm and that is what people do not want to see from the people who are the most disliked group in the U.S.

Mere parsimony is not economy. Expense, and great expense, may be an essential part in true economy.
Edmund Burke


Also, don't forget anti-science, as 2011... (0.00 / 0)
...will be the year of the climate change deniers, possibly the biggest idiots of them all!

Follow me on Twitter.

[ Parent ]
Very likely (0.00 / 0)
that these loons coming into Congress will embarrass themselves to the point of  not only hurting their own chances for re-election, but those seeking to ouster Democrats.  2012, if played right and aggressive by the Dems could prove a banner year.  As for the Presidential election, I think Obama by a large numbers, very large numbers which will have a down stream effect.

[ Parent ]
Yeah, But ... (0.00 / 0)
... What makes you all so sure Webb will run again?

I'm not convinced he has the stomach for another race.

If he is going to run, though, it's well passed time for him to get serious about fundraising (which is one of the things I doubt he has the stomach for ...).


Who said anyone's "sure Webb will run again?" (0.00 / 0)
My guess is 50/50, maybe 40/60, that he does. However, if he sees how weak the Republican field is, maybe that will increase the chances?

Follow me on Twitter.

[ Parent ]
Dem Failures (0.00 / 0)
This is one reason there were Dem's failing reelection. Sitting back and waiting.  In my previous state, during my last campaign I realized what was happening against me, and other Dems running. The campaigns were being run from D.C. by the party that was said to be discouraged and not able to fund a dog catcher let alone any race higher than that.

Turns out the R's wanted my state, and they paid a lot to do it, much of the money came from questionable sources. I tried to warn others, including state and federal party leaders of what I was facing.  It did not sink in.

Last election had the results of what I talked hard about a couple of years ago.  Again, the attention to my warnings went unheeded, unheeded that is until the opposition was formed and funded. At which point lots of meetings were held to discuss what to do. The candidates started to see it, but it was too late.  

The opposition was derided as "teabaggers" and out of touch with the voters.  That they are, but they touched a nerve and had lots of message to spread around like a manure spreader, which they did.  

More importantly was the message against the Dems.

Dems really suck at messaging.

Two seats were lost for sitting back and not running for reelection immediately after the end of the last election.  On a two year cycle there is no break.  With a six year cycle there is no break.  There is the constant fund raising, but there are the voters.  They are critical to winning.  The Dems started too late.

However, the good news was those Dems who had spent the previous two years taking care of voters and being in the communities "campaigning" and did not let themselves relax won. Several won convincingly too.  It took more than a campaign season, it took from the previous election and a lot of shoe leather.

OBTW, I lost my last election in a recount.  

Mere parsimony is not economy. Expense, and great expense, may be an essential part in true economy.
Edmund Burke


[ Parent ]
If not Webb who (0.00 / 0)
I think Tommy P will be in the administation...lets pretend for a second that Gov Kaine does not want to be a Senator give that we all know how miserable Sen Warner is...who do we run

Advertising

Donate to Blue Virginia

About
The purpose of Blue Virginia is to cover Virginia politics from a progressive and Democratic perspective. This is a group blog and a community blog. We invite everyone to comment here, but please be aware that profanity, personal attacks, bigotry, insults, rudeness, frequent unsupported or off-point statements, and "trolling" (NOTE: that includes outright lies, whether about climate science, or what other people said, or whatever) are not permitted and, if continued, will lead to banning. For more on trolling, see the Daily Kos FAQs. Also note that diaries may be deleted if they do not contain at least 2 solid paragraphs of original text; if not, please use the comments section of a relevant diary. For more on writing diaries, click here. Thanks, and enjoy!

P.S. You can contact us at lowell@raisingkaine.com and you can subscribe to Lowell's Twitter feed here. If you'd like to subscribe to Miles Grant's Twitter feed, click here. For Teacherken, click here. For Kindler, click here.

P.P.S. To see the Blue Virginia archive, please click here. To see the Raising Kaine archive, please click here. To see the Blue Commonwealth archive, please click here.



RSS Feed

Subscribe to Blue Virginia - Front Page


Powered by: SoapBlox