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The DPVA Club

by: Dan Sullivan

Sun Oct 17, 2010 at 10:06:05 AM EDT


Former Senator Ken Stolle tells a tale that hints at Virginia Democrats' lack of savvy. It makes one seriously consider Thelma Drake's assessment that 2008 was simply the Democrats' turn. Insiders undeservedly expect deference from and take credit for grassroots efforts. Too many in DPVA circles are all about themselves.

Paul Lanteigne, who had his eyes on the position, approached Republican Stolle some years ago about making the Virginia Beach Sheriff a High Constable. A Sheriff who is also High Constable keeps the money collected during service of process. Other Sheriffs send that money on to State of Virginia. For Virginia Beach that amounts to almost $700,000 a year. Stolle never thought he would be able to get this initiative through the Senate because it was a presented bill and on scrutiny, he figured it would not pass due to the funding aspect. Stolle expected that he would be asked why he was carrying the bill and if his motive was challenged he was unwilling to be less than honest that it was about the money. Once the cat was out of the bag, he knew everyone would want a piece of the action and that would kill this and any future such initiative.

Frank Drew was the Virginia Beach Sheriff at the time. Stolle was the chairman of the Public Safety Subcommittee in the Courts and Justice Committee and as politics works, as a committee chairman carrying a bill, the Senate asks very few questions when a bill is presented. So he took the bill over to the House of Delegates and presented it to the Courts and Justice Committee. Kenny Melvin, a Democratic Delegate from Portsmouth, asked the question Stolle feared" "Ken, why do you want to make Frank Drew the High Constable of Virginia Beach?" Stolle thought, "Well, this is it," but just as he was about to explain, Delegate Ward Armstrong interrupted the proceedings sarcastically, "He wants to do it because Frank Drew has an ego as big as this damn building!" And Kenny Melvin pivoted off the witty jab with, "No need to say another thing, I forgot about Frank's ego." The bill passed out without further scrutiny. Later, upon the realization of the impact, Virginia Beach's Sheriff was made the last to be so designated.

Dan Sullivan :: The DPVA Club
One of the distinguishing attributes of the DPVA and many of its local committees is a certain disdain for the grassroots; the lack of a welcome mat; the insular attitude. Few of the independent grassroots workers from the Webb '06 effort or the Obama '08 steamroller are active members of either today. One of the harder workers in the Hampton Roads region during the Webb campaign, a former Republican and somewhat irascible retired Naval Officer, Zeke Burns passed away months after the election and no one representing any local committee attended his funeral. It was uncomfortable visiting with Ralph Parrott, an early and key Webb grassroots volunteer afterwards. He like many others had traveled a long way to pay his respects but the local committee officials hadn't made it to the services. Zeke was never part of the club.

It was the Web candidacy then the Obama experience that drew many to active political activity. My initial experience with Virginia Democrats was during the run-up to the 1976 elections and was in Henrico County. That year I experienced the disconnect between the Party and any grassroots; the clubiness. Forty years later, not much had changed and there was an underlying sense that the regulars expected the Webb supporters to fade away after the primary; yes, the primary because Harris Miller was going to be the nominee. But as support for Webb grew, the establishment became uncomfortable. A few of the members of the Central Committee started wondering whether they had wagered on the wrong horse and began to warm to a Webb candidacy. But they suspected a closet Republican behind every new face. There were solid Webb supporters on the Central Committee from the beginning, but most of those had real careers and did not rely on party largesse (aka lobbying and campaign work) for a living.

Jeff Shapiro's remarks about winning with the winds at our backs resonate. Those winds in 2005 through 2008 were gale force. And despite that, Democrats could not wrest control of the House of Delegates even with successive victorious gubernatorial campaigns setting the stage. During that period, the failure to embrace new supporters and bring them into the fold during the good years did what the establishment wanted: leaving them the "big fish" in a small pond. Then Terry McAuliffe (we're talking whale force) swam in and the pond got very muddy and eventually bloody. Brian Moran, who accepted credit for the effects of those gale force winds when he should have been reticent, started the mud slinging. Disappointingly, Terry eventually followed suit. In Terry's shoes, I might have gone nuclear, but that is why I don't run campaigns or for office and I'd hoped he wouldn't; he should have consulted Dorothy (a dolphin, of sorts).

"We hit a bump in the road last year and got a bust in the snout. I've been around politics long enough to understand that those are cycles" - Dick Cranwell in the Richmond Times Dispatch

During those times, even new Democratic members of the General Assembly found themselves treated as outsiders. Where a fellow like Stolle graciously reached across the aisle to help new members, even Democrats, become oriented, there is little anecdotal evidence that Democratic members were as helpful. A baptism of discovery learning was more the norm; it helped remind each of their neophyte status. Never mind there was work to be done on behalf of a Democratic Governor and precious little time to get on board.

But all of this is to say only: any insider deal to choose a new Party Chair is a formula for maintaining the status quo. That status quo is this: Democrats win when the other guys and gals screw up so badly that the electorate becomes disgusted. Democrats lose in a predictable counter-cycle. Cranwell says as much. That's not leadership but that is what we are being offered again. Stolle's vignette reveals that those who consider themselves leaders of the DPVA are not always the most luminous fish in the pond and they tend to surround themselves with even dimmer lights. From the outside, they appear most concerned with feathering their nests and that is why the grassroots have no genuine connection to the DPVA.

Therein lies a problem with Brian Moran, even without the Harris Miller baggage and lack of portfolio since losing the primary (if he were really a force in Democratic politics he'd be making his debut in this chapter at the Virginia Beach Democratic Committee Elephant Roast later today; not with his brother on Wednesday). But Brian, the guy who implied McAuliffe was no more an entrepreneur than he, is a fish whose oxygen supply is Harris Miller. He does, however, have a well-placed brother and some see utility in the cut of his jib. That is not enough to carry the day for the party but enough for whoever is behind this for whatever motive. Shapiro points to Mark Warner. Terry McAuliffe may be able to play well with others, but he has a much broader outlook than most in the grassroots. Moran has a tough row to hoe even with a forgiving McAuliffe. And Brian will end up being very disappointed when he realizes that some of his support for the position is there because it eliminates him as a peer competitor and that his agent will be satisfied just having control over him. Then again, not being a member of the club, maybe there is more to it.

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The DPVA Club | 16 comments
"a fish whose oxygen supply is Harris Miller" (0.00 / 0)
Now that's pretty "fish"-y!  LOL, great line and great analysis, Dan!

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This is exactly right... (4.00 / 1)
"Brian Moran, who accepted credit for the effects of those gale force winds when he should have been reticent..."

That applies to more than just Brian.  Democrats left a lot on the table in Virginia in 2005, 2006, 2007 and 2008 and we will pay a big price for that in 2010 and 2011 as we did in 2009.


I've always felt we could have done a LOT better (4.00 / 1)
in 2007 than we actually ended up doing.  On 8/30/07, about 2 months before the General Assembly elections that year, Governor Kaine was predicting major pickups in the House of Delegates (as many as 15 seats, according to Kaine) and State Senate (as many as 7-9 seats). In the end, Dem's picked up 4 seats in each chamber, a major disappointment given the anti-Bush/anti-Republican anger we were seeing in 2007.  What happened, and who bears responsibility for what happened in 2007?  

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[ Parent ]
2007 (4.00 / 1)
The Senate could easily have swung an extra 3-4 seats for the Dems; Districts 22, 27, 28, and 37 came within a couple percentage points of a Dem win, but the first three districts were just too Republican, and the last was due to Janet Oleszek's terrible campaign.

The House was candidate failure. Nobody ran against Phil Hamilton, Glenn Oder, Tom Gear, Sal Iaquinto, Frank O'Bannon, or Dave Albo. Would all of these seats have ended up competitive? Probably not, but it would've been better to spend some money contesting more seats than funneling it into hopeless candidates like Rex Simmons, Jeanette Rishell, and Carlos Del Toro.


[ Parent ]
How much of "candidate failure" (4.00 / 1)
was failure to: a) recruit the best candidates; and b) support those candidates adequately?  Also, I'd argue that Democrats ceded the messaging war in the spring when Gov. Kaine signed the Transportation Monstrosity instead of vetoing it. That took the "abuser fees" off the table for our candidates to pound Republicans with.  Big mistake, especially since Kaine himself admitted it was a lousy bill that he didn't really want to sign.

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[ Parent ]
Abuser fees (0.00 / 0)
It's funny, because in the course of things, they weren't that big of a deal in the lives of most people.  But the resonance of that foolish decision on Kaine's part really cost the party in a huge way.

One wonders if McDonnell's ABC plan is about to do the same for Republicans.


[ Parent ]
I doubt McDonnell's ABC plan (0.00 / 0)
will create the same anger as the "abuser fees" did in 2007.  Still, McDonnell's ABC plan looks like both a policy and political negative for the Republicans.

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[ Parent ]
Agreed (0.00 / 0)
It won't have the general reaction that the abuser fees had, but it is the sort of thing that makes people in your own party turn around to their top elected official and go, "HOW CAN YOU NOT UNDERSTAND THIS??" That can be very unsettling within a party, even when it isn't all that visible from the outside.

[ Parent ]
Your comments also apply (0.00 / 0)
to the national Democratic Party, IMO. There is a Grand Canyon between the nat-D's and the grassroots. The nat-D's are happy to use us to get themselves elected, but once in office they ignore us, except for tossing us an occasional crumb, much as you throw a hush puppy to the dogs. I don't know if the link still works, but after the Deeds debacle I wrote a series called "Hard Lessons" about what I saw as systemic problems in the Democratic Party, (the articles agreed with much of what you are saying today). As a result, we ended up with a To Do List:
http://www.bluecommonwealth.co...

Your Analysis After That Election (0.00 / 0)
was much more positive and substantive than I was willing to muster at the time. Too bad there was no one in the DPVA capable of providing the leadership necessary for action.

[ Parent ]
Acatually, (0.00 / 0)
before the end of that year, at the encouragement of some others, I gave the analysis and the list of reforms to Don Marks, and discussed it with him at length. Never herd another word.

The Republican grassroots took over their Party, but the Democratic grassroots has not, possibly because there is no generous source of funding, such as the Republican grassroots had. I still believe that any real reform must come from the grassroots.... if we could just get organized....ha.


[ Parent ]
I wrote a lengthy "After Action Review" (0.00 / 0)
The day after the Deeds disaster, I wrote a lengthy After Action Review that discussed/analyzed many key aspects of the race.  The review was pulled together after consulting with more than a dozen Virginia Democrats I respect greatly - elected officials, committee chairs, campaign managers, Democratic and progressive activists. The result of this "After Action Review?" Absolutely no response, absolutely no discussion, absolutely no action by the "powers that be."  That really says it all, I'd say. They simply don't give a rat's hindquarters what we, or anyone else, thinks. They're arrogant, smug, and totally invested in a system which rewards them for mediocrity, as long as they do what they're "supposed" to do (including lots of broadcast media, polls, mailers, etc.).  As long as these people are in charge, we're going to lose way more than we should.  Do they care? Doesn't seem like it.

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[ Parent ]
There's not "a" Party, (DPVA or DNC) (0.00 / 0)
The problem for Democratic parties in states like Virginia, and for the nation, is that there's no such thing as "a" (as in one) Democratic Party.

What we call "the" Democratic Party (whether you're talking Virginia or nationally) is in fact a typically loose coalition that, to be cynical, can be best defined as "not Republican."

In Virginia, this encompasses true liberals (mostly in NoVa, but scattered around in small pockets elsewhere) and rabid conservatives. Occasionally they can get together to work against Republicans, but mostly they don't trust each other and, in trying to keep the other faction from running things, end up ceding elections to Republicans.


Sorta right (0.00 / 0)
Definition:  A high-performing Dem committee is one that has lots of paying members, raises lots of money, recruits candidates for all races, does GOTV for all elections big and small, has lots of volunteers who aren't committee members, are highly visible.  A poor-performing committee is one, while having good, loyal, usually progressive Dems, is lacking in many or most of the resource areas described above.

Look, here's the issue with DPVA:  if you're a high-performing Dem committee, like Fairfax or Arlington, it's irrelevant.  If you're a poor-performing committee, which the vast majority in Virginia are, there's simply not much DPVA can do to make you better.  Simply put, Dems in Fairfax and Arlington give their money and time and effort to the local committees, as it should be.  For a statewide effort, to address those dozens of Delegate districts that go uncontested every 2 years, to Congressional districts like the 6th which rarely get contested, to all of those counties where Dems barely run a candidate or two for boards of supervisors and the like and rarely have one elected, millions of dollars would be needed by DPVA to make a dent in the problem.  The local committees simply don't have the ability to raise candidates and money.  Most can't even get enough volunteers to staff precincts on election days, not that most even have sample ballots and signage and flushing and all the other stuff we have in NoVA.

Now, one of the structural problems with DPVA is that it's based on Congressional districts.  Thus, the 6th has the same representation as the 8th, even though the 8th is ~70% Dems while the 6th is probably ~30 Dem.  Why is this a problem?  Well, an area like the 6th is full of small, poor-performing local committees.  Not to say they're not good Dems, but they tend to be older and they tend to be very few in number.  Thus, every four years, it's the same crew that gets re-elected to DPVA central committee.  It does become a club, a friendly place with a lot of Dems you know (vs back home where you have 25 people on your committee who meet once a month to have coffee and bitch about politics).  Everyone tends to follow the leader in that case.

Not the 8th isn't full of committee members who have been on it for years and years, but when drawing from Fairfax, Arlington and Alexandria, those are all large, high-performing committees where you get a lot of donations, a lot of help, a lot of ideas.  However, that is completely balanced out by the rural districts.

The seats on DPVA should really be based on local county/city committees as a percentage of DPVI, but that would mean that, while Fairfax would get 30 seats, a lot of rural committees would be lumped together with a single member.  DPVA would then be overwhelmingly controlled by highly Democratic areas.  That's great, right?  Makes sense that the Dem party should be represented proportionally by the population of Dems, not overall population, right?  Well, the problem then is that you're almost completely removed from rural area participation, which puts you back at square one - dozens of Delegate districts out in boonies that aren't competed for.

It's a tough nut to crack, but keep in mind that DPVA doesn't have a large budget at all.  Compare it to Fairfax or Arlington and you'll be surprised at the ratios.


[ Parent ]
Bob Holsworth nails the DPVA (0.00 / 0)
This pretty much sums it up.
4. A Chair Opens

For the Democratic party with the announced departure of Richard Cranwell.  The recent performance of the party heightens the significance of the choice it'll make in December of a new party leader. After being on an upward trajectory for most of the last decade, Virginia Democrats have appeared dispirited, rudderless and slow to respond to Republican charges. The recent VDOT audit is an excellent case in point. Most Democrats do not believe that there is more than a billion dollars sitting around for transportation projects that had never been allocated. But the party appeared almost completely unprepared for the audit's release, one  that depicted the most recent Democratic administration as a case study in ineptitude and mismanagement. The Democrats desperately need a consistent voice and an energetic new chair could be the first step in finding one.



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Bob Holsworth nails the DPVA (0.00 / 0)
This pretty much sums it up.
4. A Chair Opens

For the Democratic party with the announced departure of Richard Cranwell.  The recent performance of the party heightens the significance of the choice it'll make in December of a new party leader. After being on an upward trajectory for most of the last decade, Virginia Democrats have appeared dispirited, rudderless and slow to respond to Republican charges. The recent VDOT audit is an excellent case in point. Most Democrats do not believe that there is more than a billion dollars sitting around for transportation projects that had never been allocated. But the party appeared almost completely unprepared for the audit's release, one  that depicted the most recent Democratic administration as a case study in ineptitude and mismanagement. The Democrats desperately need a consistent voice and an energetic new chair could be the first step in finding one.



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The DPVA Club | 16 comments
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