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Republican Poll: Rigell 45%-Nye 40%-Golden 7%

by: lowkell

Wed Sep 29, 2010 at 06:13:23 AM EDT


Just as with polls done for the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, it's hard to know what to make of polls commissioned by the National Republican Congressional Committee. With that disclaimer, here are the results from a new poll by the NRCC on Virginia's 2nd Congressional District:
In Virginia's 2nd district, Rep. Glenn Nye (D) trailed car dealer Scott Rigell (R) by 5 points. The Congressman took 40 percent to Rigell's 45 percent. Independent Kenny Golden, a former Republican, took 7 percent. The survey of 400 likely voters was conducted by the GOP firm Ayres McHenry & Associates Sept 23 to 26 and had a 4.9 point margin of error.
That 5-point lead for the used car dealer (Rigell) is just outside the statistical margin of error, so right now it looks like the 2nd CD could go either way.  That's assuming, of course, that the GOP polling is accurate, which we can't really know since we aren't privy to the "internals" of the poll. How about we just call this race a tossup and leave it at that?
lowkell :: Republican Poll: Rigell 45%-Nye 40%-Golden 7%
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Republican Poll: Rigell 45%-Nye 40%-Golden 7% | 5 comments
Assuming the poll is remotely accurate, (0.00 / 0)
it means that Nye and Obama need to stop alienating the party base and would be supporters.  Obama's comments - such as in the Rolling Stone interview -  continue to insult many who merely seek to hold him accountable for his broken campaign promises. And Nye might do well to answer letters and inquiries from past supporters.

michaelinnorfolk
I agree with you on Nye. (0.00 / 0)
I strongly disagree with you on Obama. In fact, I agree with Obama that it's time for Democrats and progressives to "buck up" and prevent the right-wing extremists from taking power.  Are the Democrats perfect?  Far from it, but if Boehner/Cantor/McConnell and the Tea Party take power, it's going to get really, really ugly for everything we care about.

Follow me on Twitter.
[ Parent ]
A Long, Painful "Ugly" (0.00 / 0)
Because during the first period, the GOP agenda should move at a crawl with a Democratic majority in the Senate and the veto pen in the hands of a Democrat.

2012 will be the watershed election. If we don't "buck up" and the GOP message that conservative "progress" has been stalled by the Democrats is successful, we are going to be sucking down a lot of tea.

[ Parent ]
Actually... (0.00 / 0)
A 5 point spread is well within the margin of error.  MOE does not apply to the spread but rather to each candidates vote total. In this case, it means Rigell's total should be between 40 and 50 and Nye's total would be between 35 and 45.  Anytime those potential totals cross (such as in this case) the race is within the MOE.

Don't get me wrong, I'd like to be able to say Rigell is way ahead and outside the MOE but that wouldn't be accurate.  

I believe Democrats would want to pour money into Golden's campaign (0.00 / 0)
to hit Rigell from his weak right flank.  
Republican Poll: Rigell 45%-Nye 40%-Golden 7% | 5 comments
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