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Why Dems Will Win in November

by: KathyinBlacksburg

Tue Jul 13, 2010 at 19:28:39 PM EDT


Sick of all the negativity?  Me too.  (Heck, I am even sick of my own negativity!) I refer specifically to the presumption by most talking heads, and even many pols, that Dems will lose big in November.  It is "preordained," they imply.  You know, preordained because of 1994.  I say, "Not!"  

For one thing, despite my pessimistic diary on framing recently, Dems are finally getting their message out more effectively.  In today's release of the WAPO poll, Repubs score even lower than Dems with the public.  Additionally, the GOP shoots itself in the foot more very single day that the Trio of Nothing (Boehner, Cantor and McConnell) clowns its way through life and their supposed representation of real people, not corporations.  Another illustration of why we will win is that Eric-the-Clown Cantor grasped at straws, or rather Robert Gibbs' gloom and doom about Dems prospects in November on NBC the other day.  And then about a day later, he slammed the Job Recovery Act --at an event featuring businesses funded with millions in stimulus dollars.  The hypocrisy over-floweth.  

Most of all, we will win because national Republican pols are lying hypocrites, who purport to  care about the economy, put on their deficit hawk scare costumes, and then call for tax cuts (reducing the revenue stream). Talk about phony.  But they think that no help should be on the way for those suffering because of Wall Street and Republican Congressional (and former presidential) neglect.   Just today, another member of Congress accused the unemployed of "just sitting there."  It never stops.  

KathyinBlacksburg :: Why Dems Will Win in November
Still don't believe me?  Huffington Post quotes some MSNBC talking heads about what a stretch the hype about a Republican big win really is here.


•  1) Unlike in '94, the Republican Party has a [favorable/unfavorable] score that's no better (and sometimes even worse) than the Dem Party's.
•  2) Unlike in '94, the GOP isn't necessarily running on new ideas or even with many new faces.
•  3) The National Republican Congressional Committee has a HUGE financial disadvantage compared with the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, and the RNC's political/fundraising troubles won't be able to make up the difference
•  4) Winning 39 seats is a tall order. After all, when Democrats won back the House in 2006 -- during the height of violence in Iraq and after Hurricane Katrina -- they picked up 30 House seats. The GOP will need almost 10 more than that.

Nor do most analysts expect the Senate to turn.  Ironically, now that I've talked about the horse race, I will add this.  The thing I hate most about political coverage (besides its glaring corporate slant), is incessant coverage of the horse race, which swamps fact-checking, issue delineation, and illustrated real differences (which do exist), even on those thing Dems tack "right" (wrong-wing) on.  There's little sign it will get any better.  Indeed with the fact- and ethically-challenged FAUX News (along with some CNN FAUX wannabes, it's hard to see the light at the end of the tunnel for sound news coverage.  It's downright surreal that only MSNBC (owned, at least until or unless Comcast gets its buyout approved, by powerful defense contractor GE) provides any semblance of balance.  Of course, then some of the false umbrage patrol will feign that Keith Olbermann or Rachel Maddow are "as bad" on the left as are Glenn Beck, Sean Hannity and Bill O-Lielly are on the far wrong-wing.   Again, I say, "Not!"

So, Dems should be wary of the horse race gloom and doom.  Finally, if Gibbs is trying to motivate the "troops," he's picked a poor way to do it.  A little optimism, tempered with a realistic delineation of what it will take to win, please.  Gloom and doom are no way to fire up the faithful, or inspire moderate Republicans and independents thinking about crossing over.

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Cantor's job fair was nearly jobless! (0.00 / 0)
What a waste of peoples' time, gasoline, and resume paper.

http://therichmonder.blogspot....

The Richmonder


Check out this video (0.00 / 0)

Amazing, how does he say this s*** with a straight face?

Follow me on Twitter.

If we get the message out... (0.00 / 0)
...we can most certainly stem the Republican tide of Stale and Bitter Tea.

My analysis is this:

- The Tea Party is, of course, a phenomenon within Republican/conservative ranks.  It gives them the advantage of passion with the disadvantage of daily reminders that its leaders are a bunch of wacko extremists.

- Independents are upset about many things, certainly the economy most of all.  The Tea Partiers, Fox News and other Republican bullhorns have worked assiduously to turn that rage toward Obama and the Democrats.  But Independents are independent for a reason and -- if we work damn hard at it -- we can turn their rage back where it belongs, toward the folks who spent 8 years (30 if you count all the problems Reaganism has caused us) digging us into the vast economic, military, social and environmental holes which we are now struggling to dig out of.  

We are on much firmer ground than the media wants to tell us.  We need to work on them -- they are tempted by stories about how "the conventional wisdom is wrong", and I believe that the conventional wisdom they've peddled us about this election needs to be vigorously challenged.

Impeachinelli! Now on Twitter.


the tea party has leaders? When was this? (0.00 / 0)
I thought the Tea Party was a loose confederation of people that shun organization and leadership, and if a leader emerges like Rand Paul,that's by accident. The 1994 Republican Revolution had established party leaders on the Hill, not only responding to Clinton, but articulating a message inherited from the Reagan Revolution. These were Newt Gingrich and to a lesser extent, Bob Dole. I do think though, Gibbs could be the Dee Dee Myers of the Obama Administration, I think his time is almost up.

[ Parent ]
Tea Partier Barber is cooled when placed on the saucer of primary election (0.00 / 0)
And on Bastille Day of all days. "Gather Your Armies" Rick Barber is beaten in a runoff with establishment GOP candidate, Montgomery City Councilwoman Martha Roby. From TPM http://tpmdc.talkingpointsmemo...

Don't Gather Your Armies! Rick Barber Loses GOP House PrimaryThe Rick Barber revolution has come to an end -- at least for tonight.

Barber, the businessman and Tea Party-backed House candidate who attracted the national spotlight after he ran an ad in which he met with America's founding fathers (played by actors) and talked to them about the tyranny of the Obama administration -- followed by George Washington saying "Gather your armies" -- has been defeated in the Republican primary runoff for Alabama's Second District. With 83% of precincts reporting, Montgomery City Councilwoman Martha Roby leads by 61%-39%.

Back in the June 1 first-round primary, Roby fell just short of the 50% needed to avoid a runoff, with 49% to Barber's 29%. Barber then gained national prominence through the "gather your armies" ad, and another spot in which Abraham Lincoln declared that modern taxation and government social spending was "slavery." (Never mind that Lincoln was a lifelong champion of the big-government policies of his day, the Whig "internal improvements.")

This goes back to the idea, that a lot of this be scared of the GOP Tea Party boogeyman who will sweep November is quietly being snuffed out by voters at primary elections. In Nevada, Reid was looking like a cooked goose, until a Tea Party Sharron Angle, won her primary, then Reid looked good, as she became embattled. Rand Paul of Kentucky, was becoming the national Tea Party Spokesperson when he won his primary election, with a Libertarian Tea Party message, then that hit the skids when he said there's a lot of stuff in the Civil Rights Act of 1964 that is intrusive. Then he railed against the Americans with Disabilities Act, the big bad Obama telling a corporation that devastated the Gulf Coast, he was wrong to act Presidential, as if he had the authority-hello Reagan and the Air Traffic Controllers. Then of course. You can't take over power, if you're cursing out hour Party Chairman telling him he should resign, which is drying up funding resources.  You need to act like a disciplined team, and the Republicans aren't doing that. So, I got to agree with Kathy, that before, the threat was there but it was too far off, but people panic anyway, now as the let's look as if we're unified, Republican Party snowballs closer to November, it just looks more a mess. So we shall see if taking the House is doable, or if people are just counting their eggs before they've hatched.


[ Parent ]
Why Dems will win (continued) (0.00 / 0)
GOPher Jim Bunning's behavior says it all. From Arthur Delaney at Huffington Post:

Kentucky Republican Sen. Jim Bunning made himself a pariah when he singlehandedly blocked a reauthorization of unemployment benefits back in February, saying "tough shit" to a Democratic senator's request to help the long-term jobless and complaining that having to stiff the unemployed was causing him to miss a basketball game. The press lambasted Bunning and members of his own party begged him to back off as he jeopardized benefits for thousands of people.


There's nothing in the middle of the road except yellow stripes and dead armadillos (Jim Hightower). PS I'm on Twitter here.

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The purpose of Blue Virginia is to cover Virginia politics from a progressive and Democratic perspective. This is a group blog and a community blog. We invite everyone to comment here, but please be aware that profanity, personal attacks, bigotry, insults, rudeness, frequent unsupported or off-point statements, and "trolling" (NOTE: that includes outright lies, whether about climate science, or what other people said, or whatever) are not permitted and, if continued, will lead to banning. For more on trolling, see the Daily Kos FAQs. Also note that diaries may be deleted if they do not contain at least 2 solid paragraphs of original text; if not, please use the comments section of a relevant diary. For more on writing diaries, click here. Thanks, and enjoy!

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